2022 OUTLOOK

Depending on how congressional districts in Michigan get recarved or eliminated in reapportionment prior to 2022, Oakland Democratic Congresswomen Haley Stevens (11th District) and Elissa Slotkin (8th District) could find themselves facing some pretty strong headwinds in two years if they seek to remain in Congress. Both faced tough election challenges this year. Unprecedented sums of outside money. Door-to-door shoe leather campaign plans restricted due to the pandemic. Less of the blue wave luster than in 2018. These two districts are surely in the sights of RNC Congressional Committee Chairman Tom Emmer, who has already called out slim-margin districts in Michigan and other states as his target for 2022. In the case of Stevens, there’s also speculation that twice-failed U.S. Senate candidate John James could decide to seek this House district – but we heard that before when he lost to Democrat Debbie Stabenow in 2018.